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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 64.5%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 15.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 1-2 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
64.5% ( 0.02) | 19.55% ( -0.02) | 15.95% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 55.38% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.01% ( 0.08) | 38.99% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.69% ( 0.08) | 61.31% ( -0.08) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.59% ( 0.03) | 11.4% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.83% ( 0.06) | 36.16% ( -0.06) |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.51% ( 0.04) | 37.48% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.73% ( 0.04) | 74.26% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
2-0 @ 10.07% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.29% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.96% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.72% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.14% Total : 64.49% | 1-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.55% | 1-2 @ 4.47% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.19% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.06% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 15.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
3 | Wrexham | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 42 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 39 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 31 |
7 | Reading | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 31 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
9 | Barnsley | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 30 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 28 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 27 |
12 | Blackpool | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 27 |
14 | Stevenage | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 26 |
15 | Leyton Orient | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 25 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 24 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 24 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 22 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 12 |
> League One Full Table |