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AFC Wimbledon
League One | Gameweek 45
May 1, 2021 at 3pm UK
Cherry Red Records Fans' Stadium
Portsmouth

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 3
Portsmouth

Pigott (23')
Pigott (15'), Dobson (19'), Alexander (37')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Curtis (24'), Brown (45', 45+4')
Curtis (38')
Coverage of the League One clash between AFC Wimbledon and Portsmouth.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 45.11%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawPortsmouth
28.77%26.12%45.11%
Both teams to score 51.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.27%52.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.63%74.37%
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.98%33.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.39%69.61%
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.7%23.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.75%57.25%
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 28.77%
    Portsmouth 45.1%
    Draw 26.11%
AFC WimbledonDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 8.53%
2-1 @ 6.88%
2-0 @ 4.72%
3-1 @ 2.54%
3-2 @ 1.85%
3-0 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 28.77%
1-1 @ 12.41%
0-0 @ 7.69%
2-2 @ 5.01%
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.11%
0-1 @ 11.2%
1-2 @ 9.05%
0-2 @ 8.16%
1-3 @ 4.39%
0-3 @ 3.96%
2-3 @ 2.43%
1-4 @ 1.6%
0-4 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 45.1%

Head to Head
Jan 19, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 23
Portsmouth
4-0
AFC Wimbledon
Marquis (28'), Williams (36'), Raggett (44'), Close (89')
Jan 11, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 27
Portsmouth
2-1
AFC Wimbledon
Harness (20'), Marquis (79')
Cannon (70')
Pigott (62')
Reilly (72'), Wagstaff (74'), O'Neill (90')
Wagstaff (84')
Oct 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 14
AFC Wimbledon
1-0
Portsmouth
Thomas (93')
Wagstaff (88')

Brown (35'), Marquis (40'), Raggett (83')
Jan 1, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 26
Portsmouth
2-1
AFC Wimbledon
Lowe (8'), Curtis (80')
Curtis (80')
Appiah (75')
Wordsworth (55')
Oct 13, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 13
AFC Wimbledon
1-2
Portsmouth
Hanson (63')
Soares (49')
Naylor (24'), Evans (31')
Donohue (38'), Whatmough (40')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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