Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.