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League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 23
Jul 4, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Waterford Regional Sports Centre
St Patrick's Athletic

Waterford
1 - 0
St Patrick's

McCormack (52')
Radkowski (61'), Horton (74'), Parsons (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lennon (46'), Breslin (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League of Ireland Premier clash between Waterford United and St Patrick's Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Waterford United

All competitions
Last Game: Dundalk 0-2 Waterford
Friday, June 28 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

St Patrick's Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: St Patrick's 0-0 Bohemians
Friday, June 28 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

We said: Waterford United 2-1 St Patrick's Athletic

 St Patrick's may have gone through a slight improvement in recent weeks but their away form has been shocking throughout the campaign, while Waterford have been extremely impressive in their first campaign back in the top flight, leading us to believe the hosts will win this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Waterford United had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Waterford United win was 1-0 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Waterford United would win this match.

Result
Waterford UnitedDrawSt Patrick's Athletic
32.89% (0.192 0.19) 26.61% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 40.5% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)
Both teams to score 51.66%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.79% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)53.21% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.23% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)74.77% (0.02300000000001 0.02)
Waterford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.65% (0.117 0.12)30.34% (-0.115 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.47% (0.13800000000001 0.14)66.53% (-0.137 -0.14)
St Patrick's Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.16% (-0.121 -0.12)25.83% (0.124 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.2% (-0.165 -0.16)60.8% (0.168 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Waterford United 32.89%
    St Patrick's Athletic 40.5%
    Draw 26.61%
Waterford UnitedDrawSt Patrick's Athletic
1-0 @ 9.35% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.55% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.57% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 3% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.22% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 32.89%
1-1 @ 12.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.84% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.11% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.61%
0-1 @ 10.61% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.56% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.18% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.86% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.24% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.1% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 40.5%

How you voted: Waterford vs St Patrick's

Waterford United
75.0%
Draw
17.9%
St Patrick's Athletic
7.1%
28
Head to Head
Apr 19, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
St Patrick's
1-1
Waterford
Kavanagh (65')
Melia (37'), Bolger (41'), Forrester (90+5')
Asamoah (13')
McCourt (29'), Long (30'), Asamoah (38'), McCormack (73')
Mar 4, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Waterford
3-1
St Patrick's
Amond (7', 41'), Asamoah (70')
Amond (56'), McDonald (77'), Power (81')
Breslin (34')
Lennon (56')
Nov 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Waterford
0-0
St Patrick's
Milambo (76')
Hickman (55')
Aug 13, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
St Patrick's
2-1
Waterford
Smith (23'), Melvin-Lambert (58')
McCormack (45+3'), Barrett (55')
Quitirna (64' pen.)
O'Keeffe (28'), Nolan (51')
Jun 25, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Waterford
1-1
St Patrick's
Griffin (35')
(26'), (58'), (82')
Smith (8')
Lewis (18')
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