Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 50.79%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 25.19% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 0-1 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shamrock Rovers in this match.