MX23RW : Monday, December 23 01:54:25| >> :300:86500:86500:
Shamrock Rovers
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 25
Jun 26, 2023 at 8pm UK
Tallaght Stadium
Derry City

Shamrock
1 - 0
Derry

Gaffney (27')
Kenny (54'), Gannon (68'), Kavanagh (78'), Cleary (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Graydon (33'), O'Reilly (71'), Kavanagh (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League of Ireland Premier clash between Shamrock Rovers and Derry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bohemians 2-2 Shamrock
Friday, June 23 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 2-0 Cork City
Friday, June 23 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

We said: Shamrock Rovers 1-1 Derry City

In what will be a tensely-fought affair between the top two, there may not be much between the sides. Shamrock will be determined to avoid defeat at all costs to maintain a healthy margin between themselves and those below them, despite having home advantage here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 51.77%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Derry City had a probability of 23.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Derry City win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shamrock Rovers in this match.

Result
Shamrock RoversDrawDerry City
51.77% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09) 24.39% (0.032 0.03) 23.83% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Both teams to score 52.49% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.75% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)49.24% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.69% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)71.3% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Shamrock Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)19% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.44% (-0.104 -0.1)50.56% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.8% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)35.2% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)71.95% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Shamrock Rovers 51.77%
    Derry City 23.83%
    Draw 24.39%
Shamrock RoversDrawDerry City
1-0 @ 11.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.63% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.22% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.33% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.11% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.21% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.12% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 51.77%
1-1 @ 11.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.69% (0.021 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.39%
0-1 @ 6.98% (0.024 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.06% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.65% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.11% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 23.83%

How you voted: Shamrock vs Derry

Shamrock Rovers
71.9%
Draw
18.8%
Derry City
9.4%
64
Head to Head
May 1, 2023 7.15pm
Gameweek 13
Derry
0-2
Shamrock
Towell (30'), Byrne (45+1')
Mar 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 3
Shamrock
1-2
Derry
Kenny (26')
Doherty (18'), McGonigle (54')
Oct 30, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 35
Shamrock
1-0
Derry
Gaffney (38')
Aug 12, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Derry
0-0
Shamrock
Connolly (75')
Watts (29'), Gannon (31'), Kavanagh (45+3')
May 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Shamrock
1-0
Derry
Mandroiu (79')
(90')

(37')
rhs 2.0
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