MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 13:13:50| >> :300:86500:86500:
Derry City
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 16
May 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Brandywell Stadium
University College Dublin

Derry
4 - 1
UCD

McEneff (13'), Duffy (50', 64'), Ward (84')
Doherty (45+2'), Ward (80'), Ward (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wells (75')
Gallagher (15')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Derry City and University College Dublin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derry City

All competitions
Last Game: Derry 3-0 Dundalk
Monday, May 15 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

University College Dublin

All competitions
Last Game: UCD 0-3 Shamrock
Friday, May 12 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 83.18%. A draw had a probability of 12.2% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 4.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.59%) and 1-0 (11.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.62%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (2.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.

Result
Derry CityDrawUniversity College Dublin
83.18% (0.73 0.73) 12.16% (-0.313 -0.31) 4.65% (-0.4191 -0.42)
Both teams to score 34.96% (-1.878 -1.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.75% (-0.651 -0.65)40.25% (0.65 0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.38% (-0.675 -0.67)62.62% (0.675 0.67)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.72% (0.019999999999996 0.02)7.27% (-0.0221 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.65% (0.057000000000002 0.06)26.34% (-0.058 -0.06)
University College Dublin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
37.71% (-2.036 -2.04)62.29% (2.034 2.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.22% (-0.996 -1)91.77% (0.996 1)
Score Analysis
    Derry City 83.17%
    University College Dublin 4.66%
    Draw 12.16%
Derry CityDrawUniversity College Dublin
2-0 @ 15.56% (0.5 0.5)
3-0 @ 13.59% (0.45 0.45)
1-0 @ 11.87% (0.36 0.36)
4-0 @ 8.91% (0.304 0.3)
2-1 @ 7.37% (-0.265 -0.27)
3-1 @ 6.44% (-0.223 -0.22)
5-0 @ 4.67% (0.165 0.17)
4-1 @ 4.22% (-0.142 -0.14)
5-1 @ 2.21% (-0.071 -0.07)
6-0 @ 2.04% (0.074 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.52% (-0.164 -0.16)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.106 -0.11)
6-1 @ 0.97% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 83.17%
1-1 @ 5.62% (-0.209 -0.21)
0-0 @ 4.53% (0.135 0.14)
2-2 @ 1.74% (-0.189 -0.19)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 12.16%
0-1 @ 2.15% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-2 @ 1.33% (-0.146 -0.15)
Other @ 1.18%
Total : 4.66%

Head to Head
Mar 6, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 4
UCD
0-4
Derry

O'Brien (5'), Behan (57'), Keaney (69')
McEneff (15', 41'), O'Neill (65'), Osam (75' og.)
McEneff (45+1'), Patching (67')
Sep 2, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 29
Derry
3-0
UCD
Graydon (5'), Diallo (71'), Duffy (86')

Gallagher (62'), Brennan (75')
Jun 24, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 21
UCD
0-1
Derry

Caffrey (20')
Patching (53' pen.)
McGonigle (41')
Apr 22, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 12
Derry
7-1
UCD
Patching (13'), McGonigle (21', 23', 60'), McJannett (34'), Dummigan (45'), Boyce (55')
(29')
Nolan (63')
Higgins (31'), (41')
Apr 4, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 5
UCD
0-2
Derry

(44'), Higgins (88')
Patching (66'), Boyce (78')
rhs 2.0
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