League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 5
Apr 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
UCD0 - 2Derry
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between University College Dublin and Derry City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: UCD 1-1 Sligo
Friday, May 27 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, May 27 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Next Game: St Patrick's vs. UCD
Friday, June 17 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, June 17 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 18 | -10 | 20 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 18 | -16 | 11 |
| 10 | University College Dublin | 18 | -27 | 9 |
Last Game: Derry 2-2 Finn Harps
Friday, May 27 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, May 27 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Next Game: Derry vs. Drogheda
Friday, June 17 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, June 17 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Dundalk | 18 | 13 | 34 |
| 3 | Derry City | 19 | 15 | 33 |
| 4 | St Patrick's Athletic | 19 | 8 | 28 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 47.26%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.33%) and 1-2 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 1-0 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| University College Dublin | Draw | Derry City |
| 25.6% | 27.14% | 47.26% |
| Both teams to score 46.19% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
