MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 05:30:19| >> :300:86500:86500:
University College Dublin
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 4
Mar 6, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
UCD Bowl
Derry City

UCD
0 - 4
Derry


O'Brien (5'), Behan (57'), Keaney (69')
FT(HT: 0-2)
McEneff (15', 41'), O'Neill (65'), Osam (75' og.)
McEneff (45+1'), Patching (67')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between University College Dublin and Derry City.

Form, Standings, Stats

University College Dublin

All competitions
Last Game: Cork City 4-0 UCD
Friday, March 3 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Derry City

All competitions
Last Game: Shamrock 1-2 Derry
Friday, March 3 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 62.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 15.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.74%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 1-0 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.

Result
University College DublinDrawDerry City
15.17% (-1.175 -1.18) 22.82% (-0.471 -0.47) 62.02% (1.651 1.65)
Both teams to score 43.32% (-1.109 -1.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.82% (-0.125 -0.13)54.18% (0.128 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.41% (-0.103 -0.1)75.59% (0.107 0.11)
University College Dublin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.22% (-1.685 -1.69)47.77% (1.687 1.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.93% (-1.274 -1.27)83.06% (1.277 1.28)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.95% (0.53999999999999 0.54)17.05% (-0.536 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.79% (0.941 0.94)47.21% (-0.938 -0.94)
Score Analysis
    University College Dublin 15.17%
    Derry City 62%
    Draw 22.81%
University College DublinDrawDerry City
1-0 @ 6.02% (-0.261 -0.26)
2-1 @ 3.93% (-0.295 -0.3)
2-0 @ 2.22% (-0.21 -0.21)
3-1 @ 0.97% (-0.123 -0.12)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 15.17%
1-1 @ 10.64% (-0.27 -0.27)
0-0 @ 8.15% (0.041 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.48% (-0.195 -0.2)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 22.81%
0-1 @ 14.4% (0.32 0.32)
0-2 @ 12.74% (0.5 0.5)
1-2 @ 9.42% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
0-3 @ 7.52% (0.423 0.42)
1-3 @ 5.55% (0.058 0.06)
0-4 @ 3.32% (0.242 0.24)
1-4 @ 2.46% (0.067 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-5 @ 1.18% (0.105 0.11)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 62%

How you voted: UCD vs Derry

University College Dublin
20.0%
Draw
20.0%
Derry City
60.0%
5
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2022 7.45pm
Derry
3-0
UCD
Graydon (5'), Diallo (71'), Duffy (86')

Gallagher (62'), Brennan (75')
Jun 24, 2022 7.45pm
UCD
0-1
Derry

Caffrey (20')
Patching (53' pen.)
McGonigle (41')
Apr 22, 2022 7.45pm
Derry
7-1
UCD
Patching (13'), McGonigle (21', 23', 60'), McJannett (34'), Dummigan (45'), Boyce (55')
(29')
Nolan (63')
Higgins (31'), (41')
Apr 4, 2022 7.45pm
UCD
0-2
Derry

(44'), Higgins (88')
Patching (66'), Boyce (78')
rhs 2.0
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