MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 16:52:52| >> :300:86500:86500:
Dundalk
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 1
Feb 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Oriel Park
University College Dublin

Dundalk
1 - 1
UCD

Martin (34')
Malley (77'), Muller (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Behan (78')
Keaney (23'), Barr (71')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Dundalk and University College Dublin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derry 0-1 Dundalk
Sunday, November 6 at 7pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: UCD 0-2 Shamrock
Sunday, November 6 at 7pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 68.83%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 11.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.84%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
DundalkDrawUniversity College Dublin
68.83% (0.294 0.29) 19.38% (-0.212 -0.21) 11.79% (-0.084 -0.08)
Both teams to score 44.54% (0.383 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.49% (0.673 0.67)47.51% (-0.675 -0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.28% (0.618 0.62)69.72% (-0.62 -0.62)
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.28% (0.286 0.29)12.72% (-0.287 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.06% (0.588 0.59)38.94% (-0.589 -0.59)
University College Dublin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.02% (0.27200000000001 0.27)48.97% (-0.27500000000001 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.06% (0.194 0.19)83.93% (-0.197 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Dundalk 68.82%
    University College Dublin 11.79%
    Draw 19.38%
DundalkDrawUniversity College Dublin
2-0 @ 13.24% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-0 @ 12.84% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 9.1% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.5% (0.082 0.08)
4-0 @ 4.69% (0.073 0.07)
4-1 @ 3.35% (0.078 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.32% (0.047 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.94% (0.051 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.38% (0.047 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 68.82%
1-1 @ 9.17% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
0-0 @ 6.23% (-0.177 -0.18)
2-2 @ 3.38% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 19.38%
0-1 @ 4.45% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
1-2 @ 3.27% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 1.59% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 11.79%

How you voted: Dundalk vs UCD

Dundalk
100%
Draw
0.0%
University College Dublin
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2022 7.45pm
UCD
3-2
Dundalk
Lonergan (51', 87'), Duffy (79')
Gallagher (39')
Ward (39'), Bradley (57')
Jul 1, 2022 7.45pm
Dundalk
3-0
UCD
McMillan (51'), Adams (57'), Ward (90+3')
May 6, 2022 7.45pm
UCD
2-2
Dundalk
Whelan (60', 75' pen.)
Keane (23'), (69'), Whelan (88')
Doyle (18'), Hoban (54' pen.)
(41'), Benson (74')
Leahy (45+1'), Boyle (45+1')
Apr 1, 2022 7.45pm
Dundalk
2-0
UCD
Kelly (16'), Hoban (48')

(76')
rhs 2.0
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