MX23RW : Monday, December 23 09:12:00| >> :300:86500:86500:
Dundalk
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 22
Jul 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Oriel Park
University College Dublin

Dundalk
3 - 0
UCD

McMillan (51'), Adams (57'), Ward (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League of Ireland Premier clash between Dundalk and University College Dublin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shelbourne 0-0 Dundalk
Friday, June 24 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: UCD 0-1 Derry
Friday, June 24 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

We said: Dundalk 2-0 University College Dublin

Keen to return to winning ways, Dundalk will have their eyes on Friday as a good opportunity to pick up three points, and they should have too much for the visitors. UCD have struggled to keep pace since returning to the top flight, and we see them being outclassed on their travels. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 78.24%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 7.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.36%) and 1-0 (10.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.87%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (2.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.

Result
DundalkDrawUniversity College Dublin
78.24% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 14.45% (0.0059999999999985 0.01) 7.31% (0.017 0.02)
Both teams to score 43.08% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.75% (0.030999999999999 0.03)39.25% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.42% (0.033000000000001 0.03)61.58% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)8.15% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.42% (0.0049999999999955 0)28.58% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
University College Dublin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.9% (0.064 0.06)53.09% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.29% (0.039 0.04)86.71% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Dundalk 78.22%
    University College Dublin 7.31%
    Draw 14.45%
DundalkDrawUniversity College Dublin
2-0 @ 13.59% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 11.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 10.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.61% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 7.13% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.51% (0.0040000000000004 0)
5-0 @ 3.57% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.26% (0.0020000000000002 0)
6-0 @ 1.49% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.43% (0.004 0)
6-1 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 78.22%
1-1 @ 6.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 4.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 14.45%
0-1 @ 2.74% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 2.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 7.31%

How you voted: Dundalk vs UCD

Dundalk
95.5%
Draw
0.0%
University College Dublin
4.5%
22
Head to Head
May 6, 2022 7.45pm
UCD
2-2
Dundalk
Whelan (60', 75' pen.)
Keane (23'), (69'), Whelan (88')
Doyle (18'), Hoban (54' pen.)
(41'), Benson (74')
Leahy (45+1'), Boyle (45+1')
Apr 1, 2022 7.45pm
Dundalk
2-0
UCD
Kelly (16'), Hoban (48')

(76')
rhs 2.0
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