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League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 17
May 23, 2022 at 8pm UK
Finn Park
Dundalk

Finn Harps
0 - 1
Dundalk


Devers (6'), Boyle (23'), Tourish (26'), (45+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kelly (54')
(13'), (66')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Finn Harps and Dundalk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Finn Harps

Last Six:
Last Game: Derry 2-2 Finn Harps
Friday, May 27 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Next Game: Sligo vs. Finn Harps
Saturday, June 18 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Dundalk

Last Six:
Last Game: Dundalk 1-0 St Patrick's
Friday, May 27 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Next Game: Dundalk vs. Shamrock
Friday, June 17 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 42.97%. A win for Finn Harps had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Finn Harps win was 1-0 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Dundalk in this match.

Result
Finn HarpsDrawDundalk
29.22% (2.09 2.09) 27.81% (-0.023 -0.02) 42.97% (-2.065 -2.07)
Both teams to score 46.7% (1.256 1.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.15% (0.998 1)58.84% (-0.997 -1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.65% (0.77 0.77)79.35% (-0.767 -0.77)
Finn Harps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.08% (2.24 2.24)35.91% (-2.239 -2.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.31% (2.225 2.23)72.69% (-2.223 -2.22)
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.87% (-0.61 -0.61)27.12% (0.611 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.48% (-0.802 -0.8)62.51% (0.803 0.8)
Score Analysis
    Finn Harps 29.22%
    Dundalk 42.97%
    Draw 27.8%
Finn HarpsDrawDundalk
1-0 @ 9.98% (0.229 0.23)
2-1 @ 6.66% (0.43 0.43)
2-0 @ 5.11% (0.412 0.41)
3-1 @ 2.28% (0.273 0.27)
3-0 @ 1.74% (0.235 0.24)
3-2 @ 1.48% (0.155 0.16)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 29.22%
1-1 @ 13.01% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 9.74% (-0.368 -0.37)
2-2 @ 4.35% (0.209 0.21)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.8%
0-1 @ 12.71% (-0.71 -0.71)
1-2 @ 8.49% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
0-2 @ 8.29% (-0.621 -0.62)
1-3 @ 3.69% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-3 @ 3.61% (-0.338 -0.34)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.06 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.2% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.18% (-0.133 -0.13)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 42.97%

How you voted: Finn Harps vs Dundalk

Finn Harps
30.0%
Draw
30.0%
Dundalk
40.0%
10
Head to Head
Feb 28, 2022 7.45pm
Dundalk
3-0
Finn Harps
Bradley (44', 67'), Bone (46')
Williams (36')

Connolly (67'), Rainey (80')
Oct 1, 2021 8pm
Finn Harps
2-2
Dundalk
Owolabi (19', 69')
Boyd (28'), McNamee (81'), Boyle (84'), Connolly (90')
Duffy (61'), Hoban (63' pen.)
Sloggett (34'), Dummigan (65')
Jul 17, 2021 4pm
Dundalk
1-0
Finn Harps
McMillan (33')

Webster (7')
May 14, 2021 5.45pm
Finn Harps
1-1
Dundalk
McNamee (19')
McEleney (89'), Owolabi (90+2')
Erik Midtskogen (49')
Duffy (26'), Nattestad (76'), Boyle (90+1')
Mar 26, 2021 5.45pm
Dundalk
1-2
Finn Harps
Hoban (48')
Hoban (65'), O'Kane (67')
Foley (43', 63')
O'Sullivan (48'), Coyle (83'), Shanley (90')
rhs 2.0
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