MX23RW : Monday, January 27 16:58:29| >> :600:1971922:1971922:
Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 13, 2023 at 5pm UK
Victoria Stadium
Dundalk

Magpies
0 - 0
Dundalk


Hankins (55'), Oliver (58'), Coombes (59'), Diaz (76'), Silva (90+5')
FT

Lewis (83')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Magpies and Dundalk.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Preston 3-0 Magpies
Wednesday, July 5 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Bohemians 3-2 Dundalk
Friday, July 7 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 58.12%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Magpies had a probability of 18.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.77%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Magpies win it was 1-0 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
MagpiesDrawDundalk
18.85% (0.107 0.11) 23.03% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 58.12% (-0.125 -0.13)
Both teams to score 49.74% (0.14899999999999 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.6% (0.104 0.1)49.39% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.56% (0.093 0.09)71.44% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Magpies Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.72% (0.182 0.18)40.27% (-0.187 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.1% (0.166 0.17)76.9% (-0.172 -0.17)
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)16.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.39% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)46.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Magpies 18.85%
    Dundalk 58.11%
    Draw 23.03%
MagpiesDrawDundalk
1-0 @ 6.12% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-1 @ 4.98% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 2.78% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.51% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.35% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 18.85%
1-1 @ 10.95% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.73% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.46% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 23.03%
0-1 @ 12.03% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 10.77% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 9.8% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-3 @ 6.42% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 5.84% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-4 @ 2.87% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.66% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.61%
2-4 @ 1.19% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-5 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 58.11%

How you voted: Magpies vs Dundalk

Magpies
16.7%
Draw
0.0%
Dundalk
83.3%
6
rhs 2.0
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