MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 13:09:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
Dundalk
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 19
Jun 5, 2023 at 5pm UK
Oriel Park
University College Dublin

Dundalk
4 - 1
UCD

Hoban (23' pen., 53', 69'), Kelly (41')
Leahy (68'), Boyle (80')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Doyle (7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League of Ireland Premier clash between Dundalk and University College Dublin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundalk

All competitions
Last Game: Shamrock 2-0 Dundalk
Friday, June 2 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

University College Dublin

All competitions
Last Game: UCD 1-3 St Patrick's
Friday, June 2 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

We said: Dundalk 2-0 University College Dublin

 UCD are a difficult team to back at the moment, and it is tough to know where their next win is coming from. Dundalk's recent form has also been disappointing, but we are expecting the home side to claim an important three points on Monday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 74.47%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 9.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.87%) and 3-0 (10.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.72%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.

Result
DundalkDrawUniversity College Dublin
74.47% (0.875 0.88) 16.22% (-0.34 -0.34) 9.31% (-0.533 -0.53)
Both teams to score 46.07% (-0.983 -0.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.51% (-0.118 -0.12)40.49% (0.121 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.13% (-0.123 -0.12)62.87% (0.125 0.13)
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.68% (0.179 0.18)9.32% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.57% (0.42099999999999 0.42)31.43% (-0.419 -0.42)
University College Dublin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.8% (-1.185 -1.19)49.2% (1.187 1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.91% (-0.855 -0.86)84.1% (0.858 0.86)
Score Analysis
    Dundalk 74.45%
    University College Dublin 9.31%
    Draw 16.22%
DundalkDrawUniversity College Dublin
2-0 @ 12.9% (0.27 0.27)
1-0 @ 10.87% (0.14 0.14)
3-0 @ 10.21% (0.294 0.29)
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-1 @ 7.25% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 6.06% (0.223 0.22)
4-1 @ 4.3% (0.016 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.88% (0.128 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.101 -0.1)
5-1 @ 2.04% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.53% (-0.046 -0.05)
6-0 @ 1.14% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 74.45%
1-1 @ 7.72% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-0 @ 4.58% (0.025 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.25% (-0.153 -0.15)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 16.22%
0-1 @ 3.25% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-2 @ 2.74% (-0.152 -0.15)
0-2 @ 1.15% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 9.31%

How you voted: Dundalk vs UCD

Dundalk
77.8%
Draw
16.7%
University College Dublin
5.6%
18
Head to Head
May 1, 2023 5pm
gameweek 13
UCD
0-2
Dundalk
Martin (35'), O'Kane (90+4')
Feb 17, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 1
Dundalk
1-1
UCD
Martin (34')
Behan (78')
Sep 9, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 30
UCD
3-2
Dundalk
Lonergan (51', 87'), Duffy (79')
Ward (39'), Bradley (57')
Jul 1, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 22
Dundalk
3-0
UCD
McMillan (51'), Adams (57'), Ward (90+3')
May 6, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 14
UCD
2-2
Dundalk
Whelan (60', 75' pen.)
Keane (23'), (69'), Whelan (88')
Doyle (18'), Hoban (54' pen.)
(41'), Benson (74')
Leahy (45+1'), Boyle (45+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!