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University College Dublin
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 18
Jun 2, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
UCD Bowl
St Patrick's Athletic

UCD
1 - 3
St Patrick's

Kinsella-Bishop (86')
Norris (35')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Carty (7'), Lewis (42', 64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League of Ireland Premier clash between University College Dublin and St Patrick's Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

University College Dublin

All competitions
Last Game: Drogheda 3-1 UCD
Friday, May 26 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

St Patrick's Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: St Patrick's 2-1 Dundalk
Friday, May 26 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

We said: University College Dublin 0-2 St Patrick's Athletic

 UCD are a difficult team to back at the moment, and it is tough to know where their next victory is coming from. St Patrick's will head into this match in excellent form, on the other hand, and we are expecting them to be too strong for their opponents in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 64.27%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 14.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.12%) and 1-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 1-0 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.

Result
University College DublinDrawSt Patrick's Athletic
14.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01) 21.05% (-0.012 -0.01) 64.27% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 47.3% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.82% (0.030000000000001 0.03)48.18% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.67% (0.029 0.03)70.34% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
University College Dublin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)44.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)80.79% (0.0010000000000048 0)
St Patrick's Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.72% (0.019000000000005 0.02)14.28% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.92% (0.033999999999999 0.03)42.08% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    University College Dublin 14.69%
    St Patrick's Athletic 64.25%
    Draw 21.05%
University College DublinDrawSt Patrick's Athletic
1-0 @ 5.14% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 4.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 2.06% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-1 @ 1.07%
3-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 14.69%
1-1 @ 10% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 6.4% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.9%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 21.05%
0-1 @ 12.45% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 12.12%
1-2 @ 9.73%
0-3 @ 7.87% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 6.31% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-4 @ 3.83% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 3.07% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-5 @ 1.49% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.23% (0.002 0)
1-5 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 64.25%

How you voted: UCD vs St Patrick's

University College Dublin
6.3%
Draw
6.3%
St Patrick's Athletic
87.5%
16
Head to Head
Mar 31, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 7
St Patrick's
3-0
UCD
Forrester (16', 52'), Mulraney (38')
Aug 19, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 28
UCD
1-2
St Patrick's
Duffy (60')
Timmermans (8'), Atakayi (52')
Jun 17, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 20
St Patrick's
2-1
UCD
Doyle (50', 72' pen.)
Curtis (53'), Breslin (68')
Nolan (87')
Moore (72'), Caffrey (74')
Apr 18, 2022 5pm
gameweek 11
UCD
1-2
St Patrick's
Whelan (70')
Verdon (44'), Brennan (45')
McCormack (75'), Redmond (89')
Mar 14, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 6
St Patrick's
2-0
UCD
Doyle (34'), Doyle (58')
(63')

(59'), Todd (87')
rhs 2.0
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