MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 13:42:06| >> :300:86500:86500:
Drogheda United
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 21
Jun 23, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
United Park (Drogheda)
Dundalk

Drogheda
1 - 2
Dundalk

Foley (9')
Brennan (53')
Draper (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hoban (77', 80' pen.)
Annesley (60'), Boyle (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League of Ireland Premier clash between Drogheda United and Dundalk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Drogheda United

All competitions
Last Game: Drogheda 2-1 St Patrick's
Friday, June 9 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Dundalk

All competitions
Last Game: Cork City 1-2 Dundalk
Friday, June 9 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

We said: Drogheda United 1-2 Dundalk

 Dundalk have beaten the bottom two teams in the division in their last two matches, and we can envisage them having some joy against another relegation-threatened opponent on Friday. Drogheda will feel confident that they have enough about themselves to avoid the dreaded drop this season, but Doherty's side do appear set for a real dog-fight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 37.13%. A win for Drogheda United had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Drogheda United win was 1-0 (11.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Dundalk in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Dundalk.

Result
Drogheda UnitedDrawDundalk
34.72% (-0.235 -0.23) 28.16% (0.33 0.33) 37.13% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
Both teams to score 47.28% (-1.003 -1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.13% (-1.235 -1.24)58.87% (1.231 1.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.63% (-0.97 -0.97)79.37% (0.96600000000001 0.97)
Drogheda United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68% (-0.78100000000001 -0.78)32% (0.777 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.54% (-0.897 -0.9)68.46% (0.892 0.89)
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.53% (-0.67299999999999 -0.67)30.47% (0.669 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.32% (-0.806 -0.81)66.68% (0.80200000000001 0.8)
Score Analysis
    Drogheda United 34.72%
    Dundalk 37.12%
    Draw 28.15%
Drogheda UnitedDrawDundalk
1-0 @ 11.11% (0.28 0.28)
2-1 @ 7.52% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-0 @ 6.33% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.86% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-0 @ 2.4% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 34.72%
1-1 @ 13.2% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 9.75% (0.446 0.45)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.149 -0.15)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 28.15%
0-1 @ 11.58% (0.32 0.32)
1-2 @ 7.85% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-2 @ 6.89% (0.067 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.095 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.73% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 37.12%

How you voted: Drogheda vs Dundalk

Drogheda United
33.3%
Draw
20.8%
Dundalk
45.8%
24
Head to Head
Apr 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Dundalk
3-2
Drogheda
O'Kane (23'), Hoban (28'), Martin (90+1')
Rooney (54'), Draper (72')
Mar 16, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Drogheda
0-1
Dundalk
Malley (65')
Sep 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Dundalk
2-0
Drogheda
Hauge (40' pen.), Massey (45+1' og.)
Jul 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Drogheda
1-0
Dundalk
Williams (1')
Heeney (26'), Rooney (34'), Weir (35'), Williams (44'), Nugent (54')

Benson (43'), Kelly (45')
> Preview
Apr 29, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Dundalk
4-1
Drogheda
Leahy (40', 51'), Hoban (57' pen.), Martin (90+2')
O'Donnell (42')
Brennan (87')
Nugent (38'), Deegan (65'), Heeney (89')
rhs 2.0
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