MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 17:26:44| >> :300:86500:86500:
Dundalk
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 22
Jun 30, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Oriel Park
Shamrock Rovers

Dundalk
2 - 0
Shamrock

Annesley (74'), Hoban (77')
Annesley (39'), Yli-Kokko (49'), Muller (65'), Kelly (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League of Ireland Premier clash between Dundalk and Shamrock Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundalk

All competitions
Last Game: Dundalk 1-1 St Patrick's
Monday, June 26 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Shamrock Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Shamrock 1-0 Derry
Monday, June 26 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier

We said: Dundalk 1-2 Shamrock Rovers

 This has all the makings of a very interesting match, and we are expecting a close contest. Dundalk are more than capable of picking up a positive result, but we are backing Shamrock to strengthen their grip on first position in the table by securing a narrow win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 45.3%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.39%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
DundalkDrawShamrock Rovers
28.22% (0.207 0.21) 26.47% (0.131 0.13) 45.3% (-0.347 -0.35)
Both teams to score 49.98% (-0.264 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.62% (-0.405 -0.41)54.37% (0.398 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.25% (-0.339 -0.34)75.75% (0.331 0.33)
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.69% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)34.3% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.99% (-0.055 -0.05)71% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Shamrock Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.08% (-0.34399999999999 -0.34)23.92% (0.337 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.86% (-0.49 -0.49)58.14% (0.484 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Dundalk 28.22%
    Shamrock Rovers 45.3%
    Draw 26.46%
DundalkDrawShamrock Rovers
1-0 @ 8.78% (0.124 0.12)
2-1 @ 6.72% (0.021 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.7% (0.061 0.06)
3-1 @ 2.4% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.71% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.68% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 28.22%
1-1 @ 12.55% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.21% (0.127 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.81% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.46%
0-1 @ 11.73% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.98% (-0.049000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 8.39% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.28% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-3 @ 4% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.53% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.43% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 45.3%

How you voted: Dundalk vs Shamrock

Dundalk
27.3%
Draw
6.8%
Shamrock Rovers
65.9%
44
Head to Head
Jun 2, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Shamrock
2-0
Dundalk
Greene (34', 62')
Kavanagh (58'), Gannon (71')
Finn (49')
> Preview
Mar 31, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Dundalk
0-4
Shamrock
Gaffney (22'), Grace (37'), Kenny (71'), Burke (76')
Aug 21, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 28
Shamrock
3-0
Dundalk
Greene (13'), Towell (34'), Gaffney (67')
Towell (35')

(13'), Adams (88')
Jun 17, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Dundalk
1-0
Shamrock
Benson (80')
Leahy (50'), Hoban (66'), Doyle (69')

Finn (22')
Finn (83')
> Preview
Apr 18, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 11
Shamrock
1-0
Dundalk
Mandroiu (66')

Gartland (70'), Connolly (89')
Gartland (87')
rhs 2.0
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