League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 25
Jun 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Oriel Park
Dundalk1 - 1St Patrick's
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Drogheda 1-2 Dundalk
Friday, June 23 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, June 23 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Goals
for
for
33
Last Game: St Patrick's 1-0 Shelbourne
Friday, June 23 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, June 23 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Goals
for
for
38
We said: Dundalk 2-2 St Patrick's Athletic
Dundalk's form has improved considerably in recent weeks, but St Patrick's have been very impressive under the helm of Daly, so Monday's encounter is very difficult to call. Given that the reverse fixture was very closely-contested, we expect the spoils to be shared in what could be a high-scoring game, given the Saints' poor defensive record on their travels. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundalk | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
42.61% ( 0.06) | 25.14% ( -0.02) | 32.25% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 56.27% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
