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St Patrick's Athletic
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 21
Jun 23, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Richmond Park
Shelbourne

St Patrick's
1 - 0
Shelbourne

Mulraney (69')
McCormack (41'), Mulraney (48'), Curtis (58'), Arubi (63'), Doyle (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Duff (42'), Coyle (58'), Griffin (51'), Boyd (58'), Wilson (58')
Duff (0')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League of Ireland Premier clash between St Patrick's Athletic and Shelbourne, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Drogheda 2-1 St Patrick's
Friday, June 9 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Shelbourne 1-1 Sligo
Friday, June 9 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

We said: St Patrick's Athletic 1-0 Shelbourne

St Patrick's had been on a superb run prior to their surprising defeat to Drogheda last time out, and we can envisage them returning to winning ways on Friday. Shelbourne are surely due a loss despite being incredibly tough to beat in recent months under Duff, who has made them a defensively astute side without the goals at the other end to make them a perfectly-balanced outfit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 46.34%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Shelbourne had a probability of 25.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Shelbourne win it was 0-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Patrick's Athletic in this match.

Result
St Patrick's AthleticDrawShelbourne
46.34% (-0.337 -0.34) 28.41% (0.112 0.11) 25.25% (0.228 0.23)
Both teams to score 42.63% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.27% (-0.215 -0.21)62.73% (0.217 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.73% (-0.157 -0.16)82.27% (0.158 0.16)
St Patrick's Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.8% (-0.27099999999999 -0.27)27.2% (0.273 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.39% (-0.35599999999999 -0.36)62.61% (0.358 0.36)
Shelbourne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.56% (0.088000000000001 0.09)41.44% (-0.086000000000006 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.06% (0.077999999999999 0.08)77.94% (-0.076000000000008 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    St Patrick's Athletic 46.33%
    Shelbourne 25.25%
    Draw 28.41%
St Patrick's AthleticDrawShelbourne
1-0 @ 14.67%
2-0 @ 9.55% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.42% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.15% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.65% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.61% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 46.33%
1-1 @ 12.92% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 11.27% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 3.71% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 28.41%
0-1 @ 9.93% (0.102 0.1)
1-2 @ 5.69% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.37% (0.056 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.67% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.28% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.21%
Total : 25.25%

How you voted: St Patrick's vs Shelbourne

St Patrick's Athletic
83.3%
Draw
8.3%
Shelbourne
8.3%
24
Head to Head
May 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Shelbourne
0-1
St Patrick's

Hakiki (70'), Ross Wilson (73'), Smith (90+5')
Curtis (57')
Lennon (72'), Sjoberg (76'), Timmermans (90+5')
Feb 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
St Patrick's
1-0
Shelbourne
Doyle (84'), Lewis (83')
Nov 6, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 36
St Patrick's
4-0
Shelbourne
Doyle (14', 20'), Breslin (38'), McCormack (89')
Oct 3, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Shelbourne
4-4
St Patrick's
Boyd (13', 52' pen.), Smith (27'), Lunney (65')
Cotter (20'), Boyd (45' og.), Doyle (68' pen., 78')
May 20, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
St Patrick's
1-2
Shelbourne
Redmond (45+3')
McCormack (26'), King (28'), Curtis (35'), O'Reilly (79'), Burns (81')
Moylan (24'), Lunney (54')
Boyd (19')
rhs 2.0
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