Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for Derry City had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Derry City win was 1-0 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
