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St Patrick's Athletic
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 20
Jul 9, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Richmond Park
Derry City

St Patrick's
1 - 0
Derry

Forrester (24')
Lennon (35'), (90+3')
Lennon (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Malone (18'), Toal (87')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between St Patrick's Athletic and Derry City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 46.68%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Derry City had a probability of 24.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Derry City win it was 0-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Patrick's Athletic in this match.

Result
St Patrick's AthleticDrawDerry City
46.68%28.83%24.49%
Both teams to score 41.04%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.58%64.42%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.51%83.49%
St Patrick's Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.17%27.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.57%63.43%
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.87%43.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.6%79.4%
Score Analysis
    St Patrick's Athletic 46.68%
    Derry City 24.49%
    Draw 28.83%
St Patrick's AthleticDrawDerry City
1-0 @ 15.35%
2-0 @ 9.82%
2-1 @ 8.26%
3-0 @ 4.19%
3-1 @ 3.52%
3-2 @ 1.48%
4-0 @ 1.34%
4-1 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 46.68%
1-1 @ 12.91%
0-0 @ 12%
2-2 @ 3.47%
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 28.83%
0-1 @ 10.09%
1-2 @ 5.43%
0-2 @ 4.25%
1-3 @ 1.52%
0-3 @ 1.19%
2-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 24.49%

How you voted: St Patrick's vs Derry

St Patrick's Athletic
100%
Draw
0.0%
Derry City
0.0%
8
Head to Head
May 24, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 13
Derry
2-2
St Patrick's
Boyce (27'), Thomson (69')
Harkin (85'), Thomson (88')
Desmond (22'), King (84')
Apr 9, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 4
St Patrick's
2-0
Derry
Benson (60'), Burns (71')
Smith (57')

Koy Lupano (11'), (45+2')
Koy Lupano (33')
Sep 18, 2020 5.45pm
Gameweek 12
Derry
0-0
St Patrick's
Harkin (32')
Forrester (32'), Rennie (90+1'), McNally (90+2')
Aug 28, 2020 7.45pm
Aug 3, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
St Patrick's
0-2
Derry

Titovs (21'), Ward (27'), Feely (67')
Akintunde (50'), McCormack (73')
Gilchrist (32'), McCormack (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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