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La Liga | Gameweek 17
Dec 11, 2021 at 8pm UK
San Mames
Sevilla logo

Athletic Bilbao
0 - 1
Sevilla


Lekue (52'), Garcia (62'), Vencedor (65'), Martinez (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Delaney (38')
Fernando (73'), Rekik (88'), Kounde (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Sevilla

This is a very tough match for Sevilla off the back of a European fixture, and we are struggling to back the visitors to triumph this weekend. Athletic have drawn nine of their 16 league matches this season, losing just three times, and we are predicting another stalemate for the Basque outfit here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 45.48%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 27.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.89%) and 1-2 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 1-0 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sevilla in this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawSevilla
27.07%27.45%45.48%
Both teams to score 46.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.45%58.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.88%79.12%
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.5%37.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.72%74.27%
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.3%25.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.38%60.61%
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 27.07%
    Sevilla 45.48%
    Draw 27.45%
Athletic BilbaoDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 9.45%
2-1 @ 6.3%
2-0 @ 4.64%
3-1 @ 2.06%
3-0 @ 1.52%
3-2 @ 1.4%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 27.07%
1-1 @ 12.84%
0-0 @ 9.64%
2-2 @ 4.28%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.45%
0-1 @ 13.09%
0-2 @ 8.89%
1-2 @ 8.73%
0-3 @ 4.03%
1-3 @ 3.95%
2-3 @ 1.94%
0-4 @ 1.37%
1-4 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 45.48%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla

Athletic Bilbao
26.6%
Draw
27.5%
Sevilla
45.9%
109
Head to Head
May 3, 2021 8pm
Oct 31, 2020 3.15pm
Gameweek 8
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Sevilla
Muniain (76'), Sancet (86')
Garcia (30'), Martinez (54'), Williams (62'), Lopez (89'), Berchiche (90+2')
En-Nesyri (9')
Fernando (26'), Kounde (63'), Acuna (69'), Navas (88'), Carlos (90')
Jul 9, 2020 9pm
Jan 3, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 19
Sevilla
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Nunez (60' og.)
Carrico (31'), Ocampos (77')
Capa (15')
Capa (71'), Lopez (84'), Nunez (85'), Martinez (87')
May 18, 2019 3.15pm
Sevilla
2-0
Athletic Bilbao
Ben Yedder (44'), El Haddadi (90')
Rog (36'), Gnagnon (60'), Navas (60'), Mercado (65')

Garcia (19'), Garcia (29')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid20144247202746
2Atletico MadridAtletico20135234132144
3Barcelona20123552232939
4Athletic Bilbao20116331181339
5Villarreal209653831733
6Mallorca209381925-630
7Real Sociedad208481714328
8GironaGirona208482827128
9Rayo Vallecano206862323026
10Osasuna206862429-526
11Sevilla207582329-626
12Real BetisBetis206772226-425
13Celta Vigo2073102932-324
14Las PalmasLas Palmas2064102533-822
15Leganes205781929-1022
16Getafe204881417-320
17AlavesAlaves2055102432-820
18Espanyol2054111932-1319
19Valencia2037101929-1016
20Real ValladolidValladolid2043131439-2515


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