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Athletic Bilbao logo
La Liga | Gameweek 8
Oct 31, 2020 at 3.15pm UK
San Mames
Sevilla logo

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 1
Sevilla

Muniain (76'), Sancet (86')
Garcia (30'), Martinez (54'), Williams (62'), Lopez (89'), Berchiche (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
En-Nesyri (9')
Fernando (26'), Kounde (63'), Acuna (69'), Navas (88'), Carlos (90')

Preview: Athletic Bilbao vs. Sevilla - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Sevilla, including team news and predicted lineups.

Sevilla will be looking to return to winning ways in Spain's top flight when they continue their 2020-21 campaign away to Athletic Bilbao on Saturday afternoon.

Julen Lopetegui's side suffered a 1-0 defeat to Eibar in La Liga last weekend to leave themselves in 13th spot in the table, while Athletic lost 1-0 at Osasuna as their inconsistent start continued.


Match preview

Athletic Bilbao's Inaki Williams in action against Real Madrid's Sergio Ramos in La Liga on July 5, 2020© Reuters

A record of two wins and four defeats from six matches this season has seen Athletic collect six points, leaving them in 16th position in the table, just one point outside of the relegation zone.

Gaizka Garitano's side picked up an important win at home to Levante on October 18, but they have lost three of their last four in the league, including a 1-0 defeat at Osasuna last weekend.

Worryingly, Athletic have not scored a single goal in their last three defeats, and it could well be a difficult campaign for the club, who finished 11th in Spain's top flight last season.

The eight-time La Liga champions have lost two of their last three league games with Sevilla, meanwhile, including a 2-1 defeat in the corresponding match last term.

The Basque side have plenty of talent in the final third of the field, but Inaki Williams, Iker Muniain and Raul Garcia have only managed one goal between them so far this season.

Chelsea's Kurt Zouma competes with Sevilla players during their Champions League match on October 20, 2020© Reuters

Sevilla, meanwhile, are going well in the Champions League this season, following a goalless draw with Chelsea by beating Rennes on Wednesday night to move onto four points in their section.

The Europa League winners have now lost their last two in the league, though, suffering a 1-0 defeat at Granada on October 17 before Eibar recorded a surprise 1-0 success at the Estadio Ramon last weekend.

A record of two wins, one draw and two defeats from five matches has left Sevilla in 13th spot in the table, although they do have two games in hand over a lot of the teams around them.

The matches are coming thick and fast for Lopetegui's side at the moment as they are back in Champions League action at home to Krasnodar on November 4 before hosting Osasuna in the league on November 7.

It would be fair to say that Sevilla are yet to seriously ignite their league campaign, but Los Nervionenses will be determined to collect all three points this weekend.

Athletic Bilbao La Liga form: LWLLWL

Sevilla La Liga form: WWDLL
Sevilla form (all competitions): WDLDLW


Team News

Sevilla defender Jules Kounde pictured in September 2020© Reuters

Bilbao again have doubts over the fitness of Kenan Kodro, Oscar de Marcos and Ibai Gomez, but the Basque side did not pick up any fresh concerns against Osasuna last weekend.

There is expected to be a change at left-back with Yuri Berchiche set to replace Mikel Balenziaga, but Garitano could otherwise stick with the same side that featured in Pamplona.

As mentioned, Williams, Muniain and Raul Garcia have struggled for goals this season, but the trio should continue in the final third of the field, while Alex Berenguer is expected to retain his spot.

As for Sevilla, Lopetegui is expected to make changes from the side that overcame Rennes in the Champions League on Wednesday night.

Ivan Rakitic and Nemanja Gudelj both came off the bench against the French club and could now earn spots in the XI, with Fernando and Oliver Torres potentially dropping out.

Franco Vazquez is also pushing for a place in the final third of the field, although Lucas Ocampos and Luuk de Jong should both keep their positions in attack. Jules Kounde is also available after recovering from coronavirus, while Joan Jordan served a one-game domestic suspension against Eibar and will return.

Athletic Bilbao possible starting lineup:
Simon; Capa, Yeray, Martinez, Yuri; D Garcia, Lopez; Muniain, R Garcia, Berenguer; Williams

Sevilla possible starting lineup:
Bounou; Navas, Kounde, Carlos, Acuna; Gudelj, Rakitic, Jordan; Ocampos, L de Jong, Munir


SM words green background

We say: Athletic Bilbao 1-2 Sevilla

Sevilla will be desperate to return to winning ways in La Liga, and we can see Lopetegui's side triumphing this weekend. Athletic have so much talent, but the Basque outfit have struggled for form this season, and we are expecting Garitano's side to suffer another disappointing result here.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data


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Written by
Matt Law

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.


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Game History

Who will win Saturday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Sevilla?

Athletic Bilbao
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Draw
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Sevilla
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Sevilla players celebrate Suso's goal against Manchester United on August 16, 2020
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512


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