We said: South Korea 1-0 Tunisia
With both teams having recently put together an encouraging run of form, this could prove to be an entertaining encounter. However, we have to side with the hosts, who have looked particularly strong in defence in their latest matches.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 47.11%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Tunisia had a probability of 25.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Tunisia win it was 0-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that South Korea would win this match.