MX23RW : Saturday, December 21 16:00:04| >> :60:321:321:
Mexico national football team
Friendlies 1
Sep 11, 2024 at 2am UK
Soldier Field
Canada national football team

Mexico
0 - 0
Canada


Araujo (18'), Huerta (26'), Mozo (69')
FT

Choiniere (57'), Laryea (65'), Sigur (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly clash between Mexico and Canada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 3-0 New Zealand
Sunday, September 8 at 2am in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: USA 1-2 Canada
Saturday, September 7 at 9pm in International Friendlies
Current Group A Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina359
2Canada3-14
3Chile3-12
4Peru3-31

We said: Mexico 2-2 Canada

Both sides look rejuvenated under new managers, who have given them a lot more freedom going forward, which is why we project a spirited affair with multiple goes for each. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 53%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Canada had a probability of 21.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Canada win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
MexicoDrawCanada
53% (0.218 0.22) 25.33% (0.119 0.12) 21.67% (-0.335 -0.33)
Both teams to score 47.17% (-0.743 -0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.02% (-0.77 -0.77)54.97% (0.77 0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.75% (-0.639 -0.64)76.25% (0.639 0.64)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.24% (-0.217 -0.22)20.76% (0.219 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.61% (-0.34500000000001 -0.35)53.39% (0.346 0.35)
Canada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.53% (-0.773 -0.77)40.47% (0.774 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.92% (-0.707 -0.71)77.08% (0.709 0.71)
Score Analysis
    Mexico 52.99%
    Canada 21.67%
    Draw 25.32%
MexicoDrawCanada
1-0 @ 13.2% (0.3 0.3)
2-0 @ 10.38% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.043999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.44% (0.052 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.92% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.14% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 52.99%
1-1 @ 11.94% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.4% (0.248 0.25)
2-2 @ 4.25% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 25.32%
0-1 @ 7.6% (0.067 0.07)
1-2 @ 5.4% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-2 @ 3.44% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.63% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 21.67%

How you voted: Mexico vs Canada

Mexico
44.8%
Draw
19.5%
Canada
35.6%
87
Head to Head
Nov 17, 2021 2.05am
Third Round
Canada
2-1
Mexico
Henry (13')
Lozano (14'), Araujo (90+8')
Oct 8, 2021 2.40am
Jul 30, 2021 3am
Semi-Finals
Mexico
2-1
Canada
Pineda (45+2' pen.), Herrera (90+9')
Gutierrez (68'), Gallardo (79')
Buchanan (57')
Henry (45'), Buchanan (49'), Hoilett (49'), Crepeau (90+12')
Jun 20, 2019 3.30am
Group Stage
Mexico
3-1
Canada
Alvarado (40'), Guardado (54', 77')
Cavallini (75')
Kaye (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Texans
@
Chiefs
9.30pm
Steelers
@
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Bournemouth167452421325
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!