MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 08:48:17| >> :600:1424110:1424110:
Conference League | League Stage
Oct 24, 2024 at 8pm UK
Tsirion Athlitiko Kentro
Heidenheim

Pafos
0 - 1
Heidenheim


Luckassen (55')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mainka (25')
Dorsch (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Conference League clash between Pafos FC and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Petrocub 1-4 Pafos
Thursday, October 3 at 8pm in Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 3-2 Heidenheim
Saturday, October 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Pafos FC 1-2 Heidenheim

Although Heidenheim have struggled for form in recent weeks, they have still posed a significant attacking threat, and it is difficult to see how Pafos keep them at bay. However, given the visitors' difficulties of late, it would not be surprising if Thursday's clash was a close affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pafos FC win with a probability of 48.02%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pafos FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.

Result
Pafos FCDrawHeidenheim
48.02% (0.042999999999999 0.04) 23.34% (-0.012 -0.01) 28.65% (-0.032 -0.03)
Both teams to score 60.51% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.29% (0.027999999999999 0.03)40.71% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.91% (0.029000000000003 0.03)63.09% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Pafos FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.8% (0.024000000000001 0.02)17.19% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.53% (0.045999999999999 0.05)47.47% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.07% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)26.93% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.75% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)62.25% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Pafos FC 48.02%
    Heidenheim 28.65%
    Draw 23.33%
Pafos FCDrawHeidenheim
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.0029999999999983 0)
1-0 @ 8.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.43% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.85% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 48.02%
1-1 @ 10.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.18%
0-0 @ 4.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.59% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.33%
1-2 @ 7.02% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.07% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.99% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.74% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 28.65%

How you voted: Pafos vs Heidenheim

Pafos FC
27.1%
Draw
8.5%
Heidenheim
64.4%
59
rhs 2.0
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