We said: Pafos FC 1-2 Heidenheim
Although Heidenheim have struggled for form in recent weeks, they have still posed a significant attacking threat, and it is difficult to see how Pafos keep them at bay.
However, given the visitors' difficulties of late, it would not be surprising if Thursday's clash was a close affair.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pafos FC win with a probability of 48.02%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pafos FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.