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Willem II
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Eredivisie | Gameweek 7
Sep 29, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
Mandemakers Stadion
Ajax

RKC Waalwijk
0 - 2
Ajax


van Gelderen (20'), Meijers (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Traore (76'), Godts (90+4')
Brobbey (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between RKC Waalwijk and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RKC Waalwijk

All competitions
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 1-2 Sparta
Saturday, September 21 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Ajax

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 4-0 Besiktas
Thursday, September 26 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: RKC Waalwijk 0-3 Ajax

 With momentum from a dominant midweek continental victory and the need to build a winning run in their bid to regain the Eredivisie title, Ajax should have more than enough to cruise past an RKC Waalwijk side devoid of any confidence at the start of the term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 60.2%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 19.42%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.71%) and 0-1 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 2-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
RKC WaalwijkDrawAjax
19.42% (0.241 0.24) 20.39% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06) 60.2% (-0.172 -0.17)
Both teams to score 59.64% (0.678 0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.22% (0.687 0.69)36.78% (-0.683 -0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.05% (0.742 0.74)58.95% (-0.738 -0.74)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.7% (0.645 0.64)32.3% (-0.642 -0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.2% (0.721 0.72)68.8% (-0.71900000000001 -0.72)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.1% (0.166 0.17)11.9% (-0.164 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.76% (0.346 0.35)37.24% (-0.344 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    RKC Waalwijk 19.42%
    Ajax 60.2%
    Draw 20.39%
RKC WaalwijkDrawAjax
2-1 @ 5.23% (0.044 0.04)
1-0 @ 4.35% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-0 @ 2.46% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.1% (0.067 0.07)
3-1 @ 1.97% (0.051 0.05)
3-0 @ 0.93% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 19.42%
1-1 @ 9.25% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.56% (0.081 0.08)
0-0 @ 3.85% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.49% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 20.39%
1-2 @ 9.84% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 8.71% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-1 @ 8.18% (-0.223 -0.22)
1-3 @ 6.98% (0.025 0.03)
0-3 @ 6.18% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-3 @ 3.95% (0.082 0.08)
1-4 @ 3.72% (0.037 0.04)
0-4 @ 3.29% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.1% (0.057 0.06)
1-5 @ 1.58% (0.025 0.02)
0-5 @ 1.4% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 4.28%
Total : 60.2%

How you voted: RKC Waalwijk vs Ajax

RKC Waalwijk
6.1%
Draw
10.2%
Ajax
83.7%
49
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2024 3.45pm
Gameweek 18
Ajax
4-1
RKC Waalwijk
Brobbey (9', 35'), Hlynsson (64'), Berghuis (87')
Tahirovic (38')
Kramer (15')
> Preview
Dec 6, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 7
RKC Waalwijk
2-3
Ajax
Kramer (37'), Oukili (51')
Meijers (42'), Oukili (87')
Brobbey (30'), Bergwijn (43' pen.), Berghuis (57')
> Preview
Feb 12, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 21
Ajax
3-1
RKC Waalwijk
Brobbey (50'), Maduro (78'), Kudus (81')
Seuntjens (17')
> Preview
Oct 22, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 11
RKC Waalwijk
1-4
Ajax
Clement (40')
Berghuis (22', 53'), Brobbey (62', 81')
> Preview
Mar 6, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 22
Ajax
3-2
RKC Waalwijk
Haller (33', 37'), Tadic (90' pen.)
Martinez (15'), Rensch (53'), Tadic (90+3')
Kramer (50'), Van der Venne (57')
Anita (90+2')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV19151362184446
2Ajax19143241172445
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1912433629740
4Feyenoord19106342241836
5FC Twente19104539251434
6AZ AlkmaarAZ19104533191434
7Go Ahead Eagles199463528731
8Fortuna SittardSittard197482632-625
9NAC BredaNAC Breda1981102332-925
10Heerenveen197392135-1424
11NECNijmegen1972102825323
12Willem II196582426-223
13PEC Zwolle195591928-920
14Heracles184682134-1318
15Groningen184591528-1317
16Sparta RotterdamSparta192891628-1214
17Almere CityAlmere City1924131039-2910
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1915132044-248
> Eredivisie Full Table


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