Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 16
Jul 30, 2023 at 4pm UK
Arasen Stadion
Lillestrom3 - 1HamKam
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Haugesund 1-0 Lillestrom
Sunday, July 23 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Sunday, July 23 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Goals
for
for
29
Last Game: HamKam 3-2 Stabaek
Sunday, July 23 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Sunday, July 23 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Goals
for
for
19
We said: Lillestrom 2-1 HamKam
Both teams have shown varying levels of inconsistency throughout this season, throwing up the possibility of a close game despite the difference in league positions. Nevertheless, we still feel that the home side will edge this contest, boosting their European hopes in the process. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 76.66%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for HamKam had a probability of 8.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.67%), while for a HamKam win it was 1-2 (2.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.
Result | ||
Lillestrom | Draw | HamKam |
76.66% ( 0) | 14.38% ( 0) | 8.96% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 51.89% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.64% ( -0.01) | 32.36% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.02% ( -0.02) | 53.98% ( 0.02) |
Lillestrom Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.07% ( -0) | 6.93% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.58% ( -0.01) | 25.42% ( 0.01) |
HamKam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.75% ( -0.01) | 44.25% ( 0.02) |