EFL Cup | Round of 16
Dec 22, 2022 at 8pm UK
Etihad Stadium
Man City3 - 2Liverpool
Reaction
Jurgen Klopp bemoans lack of VAR in Manchester City defeat
Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp bemoans the absence of VAR as the Reds' EFL Cup defence ends with a 3-2 defeat to Manchester City in the fourth round.
Dec 23, 07:51
Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp reveals Roberto Firmino injury
Jurgen Klopp confirms that Roberto Firmino missed Liverpool's 3-2 EFL Cup defeat to Manchester City after picking up an injury in training.
Dec 22, 23:48
The Match
Match Report
Liverpool's EFL Cup defence ends in the fourth round at the hands of Manchester City, who edge a pulsating contest 3-2 at the Etihad to advance to the quarter-finals.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Thursday's EFL Cup clash between Manchester City and Liverpool.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's EFL Cup clash between Manchester City and Liverpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Liverpool could line up for Thursday's EFL Cup fourth-round tie with Manchester City.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up all of Liverpool's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their EFL Cup contest with Manchester City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Man City 2-0 Girona
Saturday, December 17 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Saturday, December 17 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Liverpool 4-1 AC Milan
Friday, December 16 at 3.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Friday, December 16 at 3.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 46.78%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.79%) and 3-2 (4.98%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | Liverpool |
46.78% ( 1.75) | 20.95% ( 0.16) | 32.27% ( -1.92) |
| Both teams to score 71.89% ( -1.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
