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EFL Cup
Manchester City logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Nov 9, 2022 at 8pm UK
Etihad Stadium
Chelsea logo

Man City
2 - 0
Chelsea

Mahrez (53'), Alvarez (58')
Grealish (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Koulibaly (18'), Chalobah (52'), Azpilicueta (89')

The Match

Match Report

Riyad Mahrez and Julian Alvarez are both on target to help Manchester City beat Chelsea 2-0 and progress to the fourth round of the EFL Cup.

Team News

Lewis Hall and Armando Broja both start for Chelsea in Wednesday's EFL Cup third round tie at Manchester City.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Manchester City and Chelsea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Chelsea could line up for Wednesday's EFL Cup third-round clash with Manchester City.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Chelsea's injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's EFL Cup clash with Manchester City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions
Last Game: Man City 2-1 Fulham
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Premier League

Chelsea

All competitions
Last Game: Chelsea 0-1 Arsenal
Sunday, November 6 at 12pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 52.51%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.46%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester CityDrawChelsea
52.51% (-0.285 -0.29) 20.72% (0.02 0.02) 26.77% (0.262 0.26)
Both teams to score 68.66% (0.184 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.62% (0.134 0.13)29.38% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.56% (0.16399999999999 0.16)50.44% (-0.166 -0.17)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.35% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)11.65% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.31% (-0.073 -0.07)36.69% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.71% (0.23999999999999 0.24)22.29% (-0.241 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.25% (0.359 0.36)55.75% (-0.36 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 52.51%
    Chelsea 26.77%
    Draw 20.72%
Manchester CityDrawChelsea
2-1 @ 9.01% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.46% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-0 @ 5.58% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-2 @ 4.85% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.3% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.31% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.3% (0.011 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.12%
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 52.51%
1-1 @ 8.38% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.76% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.6% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 2.43% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 20.72%
1-2 @ 6.29% (0.032 0.03)
0-1 @ 3.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 3.38% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.15% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.92% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.46% (0.02 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.27% (0.023 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.18% (0.023 0.02)
3-4 @ 0.91% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 26.77%

How you voted: Man City vs Chelsea

Manchester City
77.1%
Chelsea
22.9%
231
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2022 12.30pm
Man City
1-0
Chelsea
De Bruyne (70')

Alonso (7'), Kovacic (32')
Sep 25, 2021 12.30pm
Chelsea
0-1
Man City

Alonso (77'), Christensen (78'), Rudiger (84')
Jesus (53')
Laporte (65'), Dias (90+6')
May 29, 2021 8pm
Man City
0-1
Chelsea

Gundogan (35'), Jesus (88')
Havertz (42')
Rudiger (57')
> Match Report
May 8, 2021 5.30pm
Man City
1-2
Chelsea
Sterling (44')
Sterling (12'), Jesus (90')
Ziyech (63'), Alonso (90+2')
> Match Report
Apr 17, 2021 5.30pm
Chelsea
1-0
Man City
Ziyech (55')
James (34'), Azpilicueta (90')

Fernandinho (63'), Laporte (90+2'), Dias (90+5')
Build-up
Chelsea head coach Graham Potter during defeat to Brighton & Hove Albion on October 29, 2022.
Graham Potter hints at chance for Chelsea youngsters against Manchester City
Head coach Graham Potter hints that Chelsea youngsters Lewis Hall and Omari Hutchinson could feature against Manchester City in the EFL Cup.
Nov 8, 15:06
 Erling Braut Haaland during Manchester City training on October 10, 2022
Manchester City's Erling Braut Haaland 'still not perfect', doubtful for Chelsea clash
Manchester City boss Pep Guardiola reveals that Erling Braut Haaland is 'still not perfect' and will be assessed before Wednesday's EFL Cup third-round clash against Chelsea.
Nov 8, 13:26
 Omari Hutchinson in action for Arsenal's Under-23s on January 11, 2022
Chelsea 'block Omari Hutchinson Jamaica call-up ahead of Manchester City tie'
Chelsea reportedly tell Omari Hutchinson not to join up with the Jamaica squad ahead of their EFL Cup third-round tie with Manchester City on Wednesday night.
Nov 7, 18:28
 Chelsea defender Ben Chilwell after sustaining hamstring injury against Dinamo Zagreb on November 2, 2022.
Chelsea team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Manchester City
Sports Mole rounds up Chelsea's injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's EFL Cup clash with Manchester City.
Nov 7, 09:35
 Denis Zakaria celebrates with his Chelsea teammates against Dinamo Zagreb on November 2, 2022.
How Chelsea could line up against Manchester City
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Chelsea could line up for Wednesday's EFL Cup third-round clash with Manchester City.
Nov 7, 09:35
 Joao Cancelo celebrates scoring for Manchester City on October 8, 2022
How Manchester City could line up against Chelsea
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Wednesday's EFL Cup third-round clash with Chelsea.
Nov 7, 09:28
 Manchester City's Kyle Walker receives medical attention on October 2, 2022
Manchester City team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Chelsea
Sports Mole rounds up Manchester City's injury and suspension news ahead of their EFL Cup clash with Chelsea.
Nov 6, 20:56
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256
> Premier League Full Table


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