Chelsea
0 - 1
Arsenal

Graham Potter: 'Arsenal deserved win, a step ahead of Chelsea'

Chelsea head coach Graham Potter during defeat to Arsenal on November 6, 2022.

Head coach Graham Potter admits that Chelsea could have no complaints after suffering a 1-0 defeat at the hands of Premier League leaders Arsenal on Sunday afternoon.

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Dinamo Zagreb
Wednesday, November 2 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Arsenal

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Arsenal 1-0 FC Zurich
Thursday, November 3 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
Chelsea	Draw	Arsenal
41.62% ( 0.14)	25.9% ( -0.04)	32.48% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 53.82% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.62% (

0.13)

50.38% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.68% (

0.12)

72.32% (

-0.11)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.02% (

0.13)

23.98% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.78% (

0.18)

58.22% (

-0.18)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.79% (

29.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.84%

65.16% (

Score Analysis

Chelsea 41.62%

Arsenal 32.48%

Draw 25.89%

Chelsea	Draw	Arsenal
1-0 @ 10% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.91% Total : 41.62%	1-1 @ 12.3% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.89%	0-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.11% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 32.48%

How you voted: Chelsea vs Arsenal

Chelsea

27.8%

Draw

18.4%

Arsenal

53.8%

Head to Head

Jul 24, 2022 1am

4-0

Jesus (15'), Odegaard (36'), Saka (66'), Sambi Lokonga (90')
Nketiah (61'), Odegaard (78'), Sambi Lokonga (90')

Mount (50'), Ampadu (77'), Alonso (77'), Koulibaly (90')

Apr 20, 2022 7.45pm

2-4

Werner (17'), Azpilicueta (32')
Sarr (65'), Mount (84'), Azpilicueta (90+1')

Nketiah (13', 57'), Smith Rowe (27'), Saka (90+2' pen.)
Magalhaes (90+1')

Aug 22, 2021 4.30pm

0-2

Mari (34'), Holding (45'), Sambi Lokonga (67')

Lukaku (15'), James (35')

Aug 1, 2021 3pm

1-2

Xhaka (69')
Tavares (86')

Havertz (26'), Abraham (72')
Kovacic (42'), Zappacosta (54')

May 12, 2021 8.15pm

0-1

Chelsea 2-1 Dinamo Zagreb

Smith Rowe (16')
Partey (90+4')

> Match Report

Form Guide

Brighton 4-1 Chelsea

Salzburg 1-2 Chelsea

Chelsea 1-1 Man Utd

Brentford 0-0 Chelsea

Aston Villa 0-2 Chelsea

Arsenal 1-0 FC Zurich

Arsenal 5-0 Nott'm Forest

PSV 2-0 Arsenal

Southampton 1-1 Arsenal

Arsenal 1-0 PSV

Leeds 0-1 Arsenal

Build-up

Granit Xhaka celebrates scoring for Arsenal against PSV Eindhoven on October 20, 2022

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