Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 59.76%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Jong AZ had a probability of 20.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.18%) and 1-0 (7.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Jong AZ win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.