Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 54.14%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 24.18% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.63%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong Ajax would win this match.