Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 70.01%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 12.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 2-1 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for De Graafschap in this match.