Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aarhus win with a probability of 45.29%. A win for Vejle had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aarhus win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Vejle win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aarhus would win this match.