MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 18:25:34| >> :600:2860642:2860642:
Inter logo
Coppa Italia | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 19, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Milan logo

Inter Milan
3 - 0
AC Milan

Martinez (4', 40'), Gosens (82')
Skriniar (50')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Hernandez (35'), Tomori (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Coppa Italia clash between Inter Milan and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Inter Milan 2-1 AC Milan (Inter win 2-1 on aggregate)

While the away goals rule could play a role in how both sides approach this game - Milan may be happy to sit in and try to strike a blow on the counter - the greater goal threat that Inter pose is set to see them through to the final. A number of options in attack, by contrast with their rivals' recent troubles in that department, may ultimately decide the destiny of this contest in the Nerazzurri's favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 49.14%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawAC Milan
49.14%22.64%28.22%
Both teams to score 62.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.32%37.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.08%59.92%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.35%15.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.33%44.66%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.33%25.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.42%60.58%
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 49.14%
    AC Milan 28.22%
    Draw 22.64%
Inter MilanDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 9.4%
1-0 @ 7.45%
2-0 @ 6.91%
3-1 @ 5.81%
3-0 @ 4.27%
3-2 @ 3.95%
4-1 @ 2.7%
4-0 @ 1.98%
4-2 @ 1.83%
5-1 @ 1%
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 49.14%
1-1 @ 10.13%
2-2 @ 6.39%
0-0 @ 4.02%
3-3 @ 1.79%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.64%
1-2 @ 6.89%
0-1 @ 5.46%
0-2 @ 3.71%
1-3 @ 3.12%
2-3 @ 2.9%
0-3 @ 1.68%
1-4 @ 1.06%
2-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 28.22%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs AC Milan

Inter Milan
62.8%
Draw
19.1%
AC Milan
18.1%
215
Head to Head
Mar 1, 2022 8pm
Feb 5, 2022 5pm
Inter Milan
1-2
AC Milan
Perisic (38')
Calhanoglu (60'), Skriniar (84')
Giroud (75', 78')
Romagnoli (21'), Diaz (72'), Bennacer (76'), Krunic (90+1')
Hernandez (90+5')
Nov 7, 2021 7.45pm
Feb 21, 2021 2pm
Jan 26, 2021 7.45pm
Inter Milan
2-1
AC Milan
Lukaku (71' pen.), Eriksen (90+7')
Lukaku (45'), Brozovic (52'), Hakimi (90+10')
Ibrahimovic (31')
Kjaer (17'), Ibrahimovic (45+1'), Rebic (65'), Kessie (90+9')
Ibrahimovic (58')
rhs 2.0
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2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


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