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Coppa Italia | First Round
Aug 11, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Mario Rigamonti
Venezia

Brescia
3 - 1
Venezia

Borrelli (14'), Olzer (46', 82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Idzes (89')
Sverko (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Coppa Italia clash between Brescia and Venezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brescia 2-2 Renate
Sunday, August 4 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-2 Venezia
Sunday, August 4 at 1.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Brescia 1-2 Venezia

While Venezia may have one eye on next week's Serie A return, they will still have enough squad depth to eliminate a rebuilding Brescia side on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Brescia win was 1-0 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
BresciaDrawVenezia
30.72% (-0.299 -0.3) 26% (0.16 0.16) 43.28% (0.135 0.13)
Both teams to score 52.8% (-0.654 -0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.63% (-0.784 -0.78)51.37% (0.78 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.81% (-0.688 -0.69)73.19% (0.684 0.68)
Brescia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.1% (-0.60600000000001 -0.61)30.9% (0.602 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.81% (-0.716 -0.72)67.18% (0.712 0.71)
Venezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.41% (-0.276 -0.28)23.59% (0.272 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.34% (-0.399 -0.4)57.66% (0.394 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Brescia 30.72%
    Venezia 43.27%
    Draw 25.99%
BresciaDrawVenezia
1-0 @ 8.56% (0.125 0.13)
2-1 @ 7.26% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.84% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.97% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 30.72%
1-1 @ 12.36% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 7.29% (0.224 0.22)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.99%
0-1 @ 10.52% (0.24 0.24)
1-2 @ 8.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.6% (0.115 0.12)
1-3 @ 4.3% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.66% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.55% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 43.27%

How you voted: Brescia vs Venezia

Brescia
0.0%
Draw
12.5%
Venezia
87.5%
8
Head to Head
Apr 14, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 33
Venezia
2-0
Brescia
Tessmann (20', 90')
Sverko (51'), Jajalo (90+2')

Galazzi (46'), Fares (54')
Sep 23, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 6
Brescia
0-0
Venezia
Fares (31'), Paghera (39'), Bisoli (75')
Vanoli (32'), Tessmann (64'), Zampano (68')
Mar 11, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 29
Venezia
1-1
Brescia
Van de Looi (61')
Oct 22, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 10
Brescia
1-1
Venezia
Ndoj (31')
Crnigoj (87')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 27
Venezia
0-1
Brescia

Johnsen (27'), Esposito (70')
Johnsen (84')
Aye (33')
Chancellor (20'), van de Looi (56'), Bisoli (70'), Papetti (74')
rhs 2.0
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