Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 9, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Guarani0 - 0Botafogo
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cruzeiro 0-0 Botafogo
Sunday, August 6 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, August 6 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
We said: Guarani 1-2 Botafogo (Botafogo win 4-2 on aggregate)
Their form domestically has dropped a little of late, but Fogo have reacted well when faced with a setback, while managing to salvage their share of results, and the Guarani defensive issues of late have us leaning towards the Brazilians advancing. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 46.89%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Guarani had a probability of 25.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.41%) and 1-2 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for a Guarani win it was 1-0 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Guarani | Draw | Botafogo |
25.52% ( 0.26) | 27.59% ( 0.72) | 46.89% ( -0.98) |
Both teams to score 44.94% ( -1.72) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.1% ( -2.33) | 59.89% ( 2.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.84% ( -1.81) | 80.16% ( 1.81) |
Guarani Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.42% ( -1.07) | 39.58% ( 1.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.73% ( -1) | 76.27% ( 1) |
Botafogo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.39% ( -1.51) | 25.61% ( 1.51) |