Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 5, 2022 at 11.15pm UK
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
Ceara2 - 1Independiente
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Ceara and Independiente.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: America Mineiro 0-2 Ceara
Wednesday, June 8 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Wednesday, June 8 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Next Game: Goias vs. Ceara
Sunday, June 12 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, June 12 at 8pm in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Bragantino | 10 | 1 | 13 |
| 12 | Ceara | 10 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Botafogo | 9 | 1 | 12 |
Last Game: San Lorenzo 1-1 Independiente
Saturday, June 4 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, June 4 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: Independiente vs. Talleres
Saturday, June 11 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, June 11 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
| 21 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | -2 | 12 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 52.13%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 20.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.97%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ceara | Draw | Independiente |
| 52.13% | 26.89% | 20.98% |
| Both teams to score 42.29% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
