MX23RW : Monday, December 23 03:49:55| >> :600:2094935:2094935:
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 23, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Olimpico de la UCV

Caracas
1 - 1
Rosario

Pernia (25')
Rivas (17'), Perez (34'), Jimenez (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Modica (67')
Martinez (79'), Modica (90+3')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Caracas and Rosario Central.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Penarol 5-0 Caracas
Thursday, April 11 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Rosario 1-1 Deportivo Riestra
Wednesday, April 17 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caracas win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Rosario Central had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caracas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.64%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Rosario Central win was 0-1 (11.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
CaracasDrawRosario Central
37.38% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 29.03% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 33.59% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Both teams to score 44.68% (0.055 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.99% (0.065999999999995 0.07)62.01% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.26% (0.048999999999999 0.05)81.74% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Caracas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.1% (0.016999999999996 0.02)31.9% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.66% (0.02 0.02)68.34% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.6% (0.063000000000002 0.06)34.4% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.89% (0.068999999999999 0.07)71.11% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Caracas 37.38%
    Rosario Central 33.58%
    Draw 29.02%
CaracasDrawRosario Central
1-0 @ 12.53% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 7.16% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.73% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.55% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 37.38%
1-1 @ 13.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.97% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.08% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 29.02%
0-1 @ 11.7% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.14% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.54% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.22% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 33.58%

rhs 2.0
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3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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