Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alianza Lima win with a probability of 44.08%. A win for Colo-Colo had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alianza Lima win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.65%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest Colo-Colo win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.