CONCACAF Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Nov 18, 2023 at 2am UK
Estadio Tiburcio Carias Andino
Honduras2 - 0Mexico
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Honduras 4-0 Cuba
Monday, October 16 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
Monday, October 16 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
We said: Honduras 0-2 Mexico
Since Lozano took charge, the Mexicans seem to have regained their mojo, and as good as the Hondurans were defensively in the opening phase, they will be facing a much more dynamic attack than the ones they saw in the group stage. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 46.87%. A win for Honduras had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Honduras win was 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Honduras | Draw | Mexico |
27.32% ( 0.02) | 25.8% ( 0) | 46.87% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51.38% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
