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Championship | Gameweek 20
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Birmingham logo

Stoke
1 - 2
Birmingham

Baker (75' pen.)
Sterling (9'), Thompson (57'), Fox (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hogan (13'), Dean (67')
Jutkiewicz (8'), Bielik (31'), Chong (75'), Sanderson (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 0-1 Stoke
Wednesday, November 2 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 0-0 Millwall
Wednesday, November 2 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Birmingham City

Stoke are enduring an indifferent start to their Championship campaign and will be looking to improve their home form in order to climb up the standings, starting with a positive result against Birmingham. Birmingham have been a hard nut to crack for most opponents so far this season and will be confident in collecting at least a point on their travels this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 49.36%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 24.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawBirmingham City
49.36% (0.118 0.12) 26.48% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 24.16% (-0.116 -0.12)
Both teams to score 46.74% (-0.101 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.04% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)56.96% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.14% (-0.058 -0.06)77.86% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.85% (0.022000000000006 0.02)23.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.98% (0.031999999999996 0.03)57.02% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.83% (-0.147 -0.15)39.17% (0.149 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.12% (-0.136 -0.14)75.89% (0.13800000000001 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 49.36%
    Birmingham City 24.16%
    Draw 26.47%
Stoke CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 13.26% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.71% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.1%
3-0 @ 4.73% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.73% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.62% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 49.36%
1-1 @ 12.43% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.07% (0.026000000000002 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 26.47%
0-1 @ 8.5% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.83% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.98% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.82% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 24.16%

How you voted: Stoke vs Birmingham

Stoke City
46.9%
Draw
40.6%
Birmingham City
12.5%
32
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Oct 4, 2020 3pm
Stoke
1-1
Birmingham
Powell (86')
Chester (56'), Fox (83'), Clucas (85')
Dean (65')
Clayton (87')
Jul 12, 2020 1.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
2Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
3Sunderland28159440221854
4Burnley27141123192253
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
10Bristol City2791083331237
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
12Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
20Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
21Hull City2868142738-1126
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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