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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Leicester City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leicester City.
Result | ||
Leicester City | Draw | Stoke City |
43.18% ( -0.24) | 24.61% ( -0.02) | 32.2% ( 0.26) |
Both teams to score 58.06% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.19% ( 0.19) | 44.81% ( -0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.83% ( 0.18) | 67.17% ( -0.19) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.16% ( -0.03) | 20.84% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.48% ( -0.04) | 53.52% ( 0.04) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.34% ( 0.25) | 26.65% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.1% ( 0.34) | 61.89% ( -0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Leicester City | Draw | Stoke City |
2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 43.18% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.61% | 1-2 @ 7.62% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.15% Total : 32.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
2 | Burnley | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 52 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 52 |
4 | Sunderland | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 50 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 40 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 39 |
8 | Bristol City | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
9 | Watford | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 36 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Millwall | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 29 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 28 |
18 | Derby CountyDerby | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 25 |
21 | Portsmouth | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 23 |
22 | Hull City | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 23 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 20 |
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