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Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
King Power Stadium
Stoke logo

Leicester
2 - 0
Stoke

Iheanacho (24'), Vardy (79')
Vestergaard (26')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Burger (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leicester City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leicester 3-0 Preston
Wednesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Leicester City 2-0 Stoke City

Leicester are quickly emerging as leading contenders for the Championship title, and they should be very confident of seeing off a wounded Stoke side at the King Power Stadium. The Potters' campaign will not be decided by what occurs in the East Midlands on Saturday afternoon, but we believe Neil's men will be unable to cope with the league leaders. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Leicester City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leicester City.

Result
Leicester CityDrawStoke City
43.18% (-0.236 -0.24) 24.61% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02) 32.2% (0.256 0.26)
Both teams to score 58.06% (0.181 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.19% (0.191 0.19)44.81% (-0.193 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.83% (0.183 0.18)67.17% (-0.185 -0.19)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.16% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)20.84% (0.025000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.48% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)53.52% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.34% (0.252 0.25)26.65% (-0.254 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.1% (0.335 0.34)61.89% (-0.336 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 43.18%
    Stoke City 32.2%
    Draw 24.61%
Leicester CityDrawStoke City
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.71% (-0.078999999999999 -0.08)
2-0 @ 6.83% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.72% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.57% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.12% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 43.18%
1-1 @ 11.51% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.97% (0.027 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.55% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.61%
1-2 @ 7.62% (0.041 0.04)
0-1 @ 7.34% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.86% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.36% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.63% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.14% (0.028 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.11% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 32.2%

How you voted: Leicester vs Stoke

Leicester City
89.5%
Draw
7.0%
Stoke City
3.5%
57
Head to Head
Jan 9, 2021 3pm
Third Round
Stoke
0-4
Leicester

Batth (37')
Justin (34'), Albrighton (59'), Perez (79'), Barnes (81')
Fofana (28')
Jul 27, 2019 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Stoke
1-2
Leicester
Powell (70')
Albrighton (60'), Tielemans (84')
Feb 24, 2018 12.30pm
Leicester
1-1
Stoke
Butland (70' og.)
Albrighton (18')
Shaqiri (44')
Allen (9'), Biram Diouf (23'), Adam (82')
Nov 4, 2017 12.30pm
Apr 1, 2017 3pm
Leicester
2-0
Stoke
Ndidi (25'), Vardy (47')
Fuchs (60')

Shawcross (16'), Whelan (29'), Crouch (69'), Arnautovic (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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