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Championship | Gameweek 9
Oct 5, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Turf Moor
Preston North End logo

Burnley
0 - 0
Preston


Foster (66'), Brownhill (69'), Egan Riley (71')
FT

Hughes (26'), Woodman (44'), Whiteman (55'), McCann (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Burnley and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 1-0 Plymouth
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 3-0 Watford
Wednesday, October 2 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 2-0 Preston North End

Unbeaten at home in the Championship so far, Burnley will be confident of recording another win at Turf Moor against one of their Lancashire rivals. Preston have failed to earn three points on the road in the second tier during 2024-25, and we do not expect their maiden away success to arrive at the home of a promotion favourite on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 55.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 21.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
BurnleyDrawPreston North End
55.52% (2.941 2.94) 23.31% (-0.418 -0.42) 21.16% (-2.524 -2.52)
Both teams to score 52.5% (-1.954 -1.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.44% (-0.994 -0.99)47.56% (0.995 0.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.23% (-0.927 -0.93)69.77% (0.92700000000001 0.93)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.03% (0.70700000000001 0.71)16.97% (-0.707 -0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.93% (1.241 1.24)47.07% (-1.241 -1.24)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.23% (-2.916 -2.92)36.77% (2.915 2.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.44% (-3.036 -3.04)73.56% (3.036 3.04)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 55.52%
    Preston North End 21.16%
    Draw 23.31%
BurnleyDrawPreston North End
1-0 @ 11.06% (0.69 0.69)
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
2-0 @ 9.82% (0.83 0.83)
3-1 @ 5.81% (0.185 0.19)
3-0 @ 5.8% (0.613 0.61)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.139 -0.14)
4-1 @ 2.58% (0.14 0.14)
4-0 @ 2.57% (0.325 0.33)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-0 @ 0.91% (0.134 0.13)
5-1 @ 0.91% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 55.52%
1-1 @ 11.07% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 6.24% (0.255 0.26)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.358 -0.36)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.13 -0.13)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.31%
0-1 @ 6.24% (-0.239 -0.24)
1-2 @ 5.54% (-0.543 -0.54)
0-2 @ 3.12% (-0.388 -0.39)
1-3 @ 1.85% (-0.348 -0.35)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.264 -0.26)
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.226 -0.23)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 21.16%

How you voted: Burnley vs Preston

Burnley
83.9%
Draw
11.5%
Preston North End
4.6%
87
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Burnley
3-0
Preston
Tella (15', 55', 58')
Sep 13, 2022 8pm
Sep 1, 2020 2pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Preston
0-0
Burnley
Jul 23, 2018 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Preston
2-3
Burnley
Harrop (22'), Robinson (74')
Lennon (26'), Agyei (72'), McNeil (84')
Jul 25, 2017 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Preston
1-2
Burnley
Maguire (65')
Walters (21'), Vokes (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Broncos
@
Saints
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland96121881019
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd9630123919
3Burnley95311441018
4West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom9522126617
5Leeds UnitedLeeds9441157816
6Watford95131414016
7Norwich CityNorwich94321610615
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn94321511415
9Middlesbrough9423107314
10Oxford UnitedOxford Utd93331311212
11Swansea CitySwansea933386212
12Derby CountyDerby94051212012
13Hull City93331213-112
14Plymouth ArgylePlymouth93241013-311
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds93241115-411
16Bristol City92521014-411
17Stoke CityStoke93151012-210
18Millwall9234121119
19Preston North EndPreston9234712-59
20Coventry CityCoventry92251013-38
21Luton TownLuton9225815-78
22Queens Park RangersQPR9144916-77
23Portsmouth9054920-115
24Cardiff CityCardiff9126418-145


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