Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fortuna Dusseldorf in this match.