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Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Dec 17, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
BayArena
Eintracht Frankfurt logo

B. Leverkusen
3 - 0
Frankfurt

Okoh Boniface (14'), Frimpong (51'), Wirtz (57')
Palacios (12')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gotze (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Eintracht Frankfurt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 5-1 Molde
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Aberdeen 2-0 Frankfurt
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 3-1 Eintracht Frankfurt

With the title of Herbstmeisterschaft (winter champions) up for grabs here, Leverkusen show no signs of slowing down, and another win is set to come to extend their phenomenal start. Despite their stunning win last weekend, Frankfurt have not been showing much form at all and suffered another defeat in midweek, albeit with a rotated side, and are big underdogs here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 61.04%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 18.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 1-0 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Eintracht Frankfurt win it was 1-2 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawEintracht Frankfurt
61.04% (0.506 0.51) 20.03% (-0.35 -0.35) 18.93% (-0.158 -0.16)
Both teams to score 60.05% (0.992 0.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.16% (1.423 1.42)35.84% (-1.422 -1.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.07% (1.55 1.55)57.92% (-1.549 -1.55)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.61% (0.571 0.57)11.39% (-0.57 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.87% (1.227 1.23)36.13% (-1.225 -1.22)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.77% (0.687 0.69)32.23% (-0.687 -0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.28% (0.772 0.77)68.72% (-0.77200000000001 -0.77)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 61.04%
    Eintracht Frankfurt 18.93%
    Draw 20.03%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawEintracht Frankfurt
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
2-0 @ 8.66% (-0.214 -0.21)
1-0 @ 7.97% (-0.386 -0.39)
3-1 @ 7.1% (0.12 0.12)
3-0 @ 6.27% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.02% (0.142 0.14)
4-1 @ 3.86% (0.151 0.15)
4-0 @ 3.41% (0.071 0.07)
4-2 @ 2.19% (0.125 0.13)
5-1 @ 1.68% (0.102 0.1)
5-0 @ 1.48% (0.064 0.06)
5-2 @ 0.95% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 61.04%
1-1 @ 9.03% (-0.261 -0.26)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.072 0.07)
0-0 @ 3.67% (-0.266 -0.27)
3-3 @ 1.52% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 20.03%
1-2 @ 5.11% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
0-1 @ 4.16% (-0.219 -0.22)
0-2 @ 2.35% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.1% (0.066 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.93% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 18.93%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Frankfurt

Bayer Leverkusen
94.4%
Draw
1.9%
Eintracht Frankfurt
3.7%
54
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 27
B. Leverkusen
3-1
Frankfurt
Adli (10'), Diaby (34'), Azmoun (90+5')
Sow (74')
Oct 15, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Frankfurt
5-1
B. Leverkusen
Kamada (45+5' pen., 72' pen.), Kolo (58'), Lindstrom (65'), Alario (86')
Hincapie (56')
May 2, 2022 7.30pm
Dec 12, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 15
Frankfurt
5-2
B. Leverkusen
Tuta (23'), Lindstrom (30'), N'Dicka (50'), Jakic (66'), Sow (76')
Schick (5', 22')
Frimpong (48'), Aranguiz (55'), Hincapie (61')
Apr 24, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 31
B. Leverkusen
3-1
Frankfurt
Bailey (70'), Alario (80'), Demirbay (90+1')
Palacios (76')
Silva (90+1')
N'Dicka (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310


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