Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 51.4%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 24.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-0 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
