Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Kortrijk had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Anderlecht win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Kortrijk win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Anderlecht would win this match.