Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 60.57%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Charleroi had a probability of 19.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.35%) and 1-0 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a Charleroi win it was 1-2 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.
